NFL Week 3 alternatives, odds: Tom Brady takes down Aaron Rodgers, Expenses thrash Dolphins, Broncos surprise 49ers

I used to be going to start out issues off right here via making amusing of the Browns for his or her large choke process towards the Jets on Sunday, however then I remembered I had an similarly giant choke process in Week 2: I went 5-11 towards the unfold. No, I did not blow a 30-17 lead with 90 seconds left to play just like the Browns did, however going 5-11 is basically the similar factor. 

I blame that dumb elf that the Browns put at midfield for his or her sport. That factor has cursed the crew and my alternatives. For those who’ve ever noticed “The Ring,” the similar factor occurs whilst you have a look at Brownie the elf, excluding you do not die, you simply get your alternatives incorrect. 

The excellent news for me is that I do not imagine in elves or curses or the colour brown, so I will have to be simply effective making my alternatives this week. Even if I went 5-11 ATS, I went 9-7 straight-up, so the week wasn’t a complete loss. Talking of the alternatives, let’s get to them.

In fact, earlier than we get to the alternatives, here is a fast reminder that you’ll be able to take a look at the weekly alternatives from each and every CBSSports.com NFL knowledgeable via clicking right here. I am getting 2.3 cents each and every time somebody clicks thru on that hyperlink, so you should definitely click on early and ceaselessly. In fact, that isn’t true, I believe the cash in fact simply is going to the funds CBS has allocated for Will Brinson’s hair care. 

Talking of Brinson, he is the host of the Select Six Podcast, and simply in case I have not made it transparent during the last two weeks, I’m going to be becoming a member of him 3 days a week at the podcast — Monday, Wednesday and Friday — for the remainder of the NFL season. Even if I am simplest on 3 days a week, there is a new episode each and every unmarried day from Monday thru Friday and also you will have to attempt to pay attention as ceaselessly as conceivable (You’ll pay attention to Tuesday’s episode beneath and click on right here to test it out and subscribe). 

Alright, let’s get to the alternatives. 

NFL Week 3 alternatives

Pittsburgh (1-1) at Cleveland (1-1)

8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon Top)

Newest Odds:

Cleveland Browns
-4

If I have spotted something in regards to the Steelers this season, it is that they principally display up each and every week with out a offensive sport plan after which make it up as they pass alongside. No longer strangely, this hasn’t been understanding smartly for them up to now and I believe persons are beginning to realize. I imply, we have now slightly performed two weeks and gamers are already beginning to whinge in regards to the play-calling of offensive coordinator Matt Canada. 

I have not learn evaluations that dangerous since “The Emoji Film” got here out. On the fee he is going, Matt Canada could be training in Canada via the tip of the season. issues are going badly when a shop is the use of your title to take a look at and get lovers under the influence of alcohol. 

I’m going to have a six-pack of the Dragon’s Milk please. 

The only factor about this sport is that I do not know which crew goes to bop again higher following their loss in Week 2. The Steelers misplaced via 3 to the Patriots thank you largely to the truth that their offense could not transfer the ball and the Browns blew a 30-17 lead over the overall 90 seconds, which I assume mustn’t in fact have surprised me in any respect since no NFL crew is healthier than the Browns at discovering implausible techniques to lose. 

The Browns had the type of emotional loss that can result in a letdown the next week and I believe we may see that on this sport. That being stated, despite the fact that the Browns have a letdown, the Steelers offense is not excellent sufficient to make the most of it. Thru two weeks, the Browns and Steelers have each and every performed two video games and all 4 of the ones sport were made up our minds via 3 issues or much less, so clearly, I can no longer be predicting a blowout, however I can be predicting an disenchanted. 

The select: Steelers 16-13 over Browns. 

Buffalo (2-0) at Miami (2-0)

1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Newest Odds:

Buffalo Expenses
-6

I do not know the way it came about, however this sport is someway the one one at the agenda this week that can characteristic two undefeated groups taking part in towards each and every different. I am not typically one to inform other people what to do with their lives, however when you have plans with somebody at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, you will have to undoubtedly cancel the ones plans so you’ll be able to watch this sport. Neatly, except you are acting open middle surgical treatment on a cat or choosing up your infant at a party or taking your grandma to play BINGO. 

If the ones are your plans, please do not cancel the ones. I’d really feel terrible if grandma overlooked BINGO since you listened to a few man who went 5-11 ATS along with his alternatives ultimate week. To be truthful, I almost certainly may have made more cash taking part in BINGO in Week 2 than choosing video games. 

Anyway, I have been observing the Dolphins play for 2 weeks now and I nonetheless do not know what to make of them. I do suppose that they are undoubtedly excellent, however I am simply no longer certain how excellent. Certain, they have scored 8 touchdowns in simply two video games, however part of the ones got here in only one quarter. They scored 4 touchdowns towards Baltimore within the fourth quarter on Sunday, however they have simplest scored a complete of 4 of their seven different quarters. 

They beat a Ravens crew that had a foul protection and a Patriots crew that had a foul offense, so what will occur after they play a Expenses crew that isn’t dangerous at both of the ones issues? It is almost certainly no longer going to finish smartly for the Dolphins. 

The opposite downside for the Dolphin is they at all times appear to combat towards Josh Allen. The Expenses have received seven immediately video games on this competition and the ones seven wins have come via a median of nineteen.3 issues consistent with sport. Josh Allen has thrown a couple of landing passes in each and every sport he is ever performed towards the Dolphins, which undoubtedly is not excellent information for the Dolphins. Some quarterbacks simply excel towards positive groups. We have now noticed Aaron Rodgers dominate the Bears, Ben Roethlisberger dominate the Browns and Tom Brady dominate the Expenses, now we are seeing Josh Allen dominate the Dolphins and I believe that domination continues on Sunday. 

The select: Expenses 37-27 over Dolphins. 

Inexperienced Bay (1-1) at Tampa Bay (2-0)

4:25 p.m. ET (Fox)

Newest Odds:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-1

Aaron Rodgers spent a part of his offseason in South The usa, which I am simplest citing, as a result of getting this sport moved to South The usa is almost certainly Rodgers’ highest probability at successful this week. If he cannot pull that off, that suggests he’ll need to play in Florida and if there may be something I find out about Aaron Rodgers, it is that he hates taking part in within the state of Florida. 

Rodgers has performed a complete of 8 video games in his profession in Florida and he is long past 3-5 in the ones video games. Even worse, for the reason that get started of the 2020 season, Rodgers is 0-2 in Florida and he is thrown 4 interceptions in the ones two video games, which is insane whilst you imagine that he is simplest thrown six interception within the 30 video games he is performed outdoor of Florida. For the ones of you who hate math, that is two interceptions consistent with sport in Florida and zero.2 when taking part in outdoor of Florida. He’s actually throwing interceptions at a ten occasions upper fee in Florida than he does at another time. It is not sensible, which I assume roughly is sensible, as a result of not anything in Florida is sensible. I imply, we are speaking a couple of state the place a man is attempting to wreck the sector report for greatest choice of “Titanic” motion pictures. 

And no, that tweet isn’t regarding me. I simplest have 19 VHS copies of “Titanic,” which is undoubtedly no longer the sector report. 

Anyway, if you happen to’ve ever been to Florida in September, you could have spotted that the air is so thick that you are feeling like you are respiring out of a straw stuffed with maple syrup. You additionally sweat greater than… what, I’m going to simply let Gronk give an explanation for how a lot you sweat. 

Additionally, let’s no longer fail to remember about Tom Brady’s first coaching camp in Tampa Bay. 

Aaron Rodgers went from taking part in faculty soccer in California to taking part in skilled soccer in Wisconsin, so he is by no means in reality needed to maintain Florida climate and I am beginning to suppose he may in fact hate it, which might give an explanation for why he is 3-5 within the Sunshine State. However, the Buccaneers apply in that climate on a daily basis, so I am guessing they are used to it at this level. 

Between now and Sunday, all you are going to pay attention about is how this sport is giving us Aaron Rodgers vs. Tom Brady, however the larger matchup is Aaron Rodgers vs. prime humidity and I am taking prime humidity. Rodgers is 1-3 all-time towards Brady and I believe he may have an excellent worse report towards prime humidity. 

I will have to additionally observe that that is the primary time Rodgers and Brady have confronted each and every different for the reason that NFC name sport in January 2021. If you do not needless to say sport, it is the one the place Matt LaFleur inexplicably made up our minds to kick a box purpose with two mins left in a sport the place the Packers had been down 8. 

It is been just about two years since that came about and I nonetheless cannot determine why he tried that box purpose. The one factor that is sensible for me here’s to take Buccaneers via a box purpose. 

The select: Buccaneers 20-17 over Packers

San Francisco (1-1) at Denver (1-1)

8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

Newest Odds:

Denver Broncos
+1.5

I do know we are simplest two video games into the season, however I have already noticed sufficient of the Broncos offense this 12 months to grasp that Russell Wilson throwing the ball does not in reality appear to be running. On every occasion Wilson drops again to cross, I have spotted that one among 3 issues turns out to occur: He will get sacked, he throws an incomplete cross or the play is blown useless for the reason that Broncos get known as for a extend of sport. 

As you most likely spotted, all of the ones issues are dangerous. If somebody informed me I used to be going to be hit via a bus, shot within the arm or stung via a hive of fatal bees each and every time I left my area, I’d NEVER go away my area. In case you are questioning what my bizarre situation has to do with anything else, I believe what I am announcing is that the Broncos can keep away from having 3 dangerous choices via NOT throwing the ball always. This is their model of no longer leaving the home. 

In Denver’s win over the Texans on Sunday, Javonte Williams averaged FIVE YARDS PER CARRY, however that did not subject as a result of he simplest were given 15 carries within the sport. As an alternative of feeding Javonte, they made up our minds to let Wilson stay throwing the ball, which isn’t best when your QB is simplest finishing 45.2% of his passes like Wilson did towards the Texans.  

The irony in all of that is that it is beginning to seem like Pete Carroll may were proper about the entirety. He put a robust operating sport and nice protection round Wilson in order that he did not have to hold the crew and it could be time for the Broncos to thieve that concept. As an alternative of going with the “Let Russ Cook dinner” philosophy, the Broncos may need to get started embracing the “Let Russ assist within the kitchen, however do not let him prepare dinner via himself” philosophy. Principally, the Broncos will have to get started operating the ball extra and let that open up the cross. 

Even if Wilson hasn’t appeared excellent in any respect this season, if there may be one crew he can flip issues round towards, it is the 49ers. Wilson confronted them 21 occasions whilst he used to be with the Seahawks and in the ones 21 video games, he went 17-4. 

If Nathaniel Hackett makes sense, he’s going to return and watch the ones 17 wins to know how the Seahawks had been in a position to win with Wilson: 1. They ran the ball. 2. They performed excellent protection. 3. They Let Russ Cook dinner.

Please observe that letting Russ prepare dinner is indexed ultimate. 

As for the 49ers, they could be higher with Jimmy Garoppolo beneath heart, however I am not certain that applies when they are taking part in AFC groups. In Garoppolo’s ultimate 10 begins towards AFC groups, the 49ers are simply 5-5. 

The select: Broncos 22-19 over 49ers

Dallas (1-1) at N.Y. Giants (2-0)

8:15 p.m. ET, Monday (ESPN)

Newest Odds:

New York Giants
-1

I do not need to say that this may pass down as the best Monday evening sport of all-time, however I am beginning to suppose it could be conceivable. It is the showdown of all showdowns: We have now a quarterback who hasn’t ever misplaced a get started in his profession (Cooper Rush) going up towards a Giants crew that is undefeated at the season. 

This sport is the immovable power towards the immovable power and I”m announcing that as a result of I do not believe both offense is in reality going to transport the ball very a lot on Monday evening. The Cowboys have one of the crucial highest defenses within the NFL and they have proven that during the last two weeks via keeping each the Buccaneers and Bengals to beneath 20 issues. The Cowboys offense cannot ranking, however they do not want to, as a result of their protection is so excellent. 

As for the Giants, even if they are 2-0, they have not precisely been lighting fixtures up the scoreboard of their wins. The Giants are averaging simply 20 issues consistent with sport thru two weeks and it is arduous to check them topping that quantity since this will probably be the most efficient protection that they have confronted but. 

I think like this sport goes to return all the way down to Saquon Barkley. In Week 1, a large reason why the Cowboys misplaced is as a result of they forgot take on anytime Leonard Fournette touched the ball. The Buccaneers operating again averaged 6.05 yards consistent with elevate towards the Cowboys and if Barkley can get anyplace close to that quantity, it’ll be an extended evening for Dallas. 

One thing has to provide on Monday evening: Both Cooper Rush goes to lose his first profession sport (he is 2-0) or the Giants are going to lose their first sport of the season, and I will’t imagine I am going to try this, however I am taking the Giants despite the fact that they have misplaced six immediately Monday evening video games and 9 in their previous 10 to the Cowboys. 

The select: Giants 16-13 over Cowboys

NFL Week 3 alternatives: The entire relaxation

Texans 19-16 over Bears
Raiders 24-17 over Titans
Chiefs 31-20 over Colts
Eagles 30-16 over Commanders
Vikings 27-24 over Lions
Ravens 27-17 over Patriots
Bengals 34-24 over Jets
Rams 27-20 over Cardinals
Saints 20-16 over Panthers
Seahawks 23-20 over Falcons
Chargers 30-20 over Jaguars 
IF JUSTIN HERBERT DOESN’T PLAY: Jaguars 23-20 over Chargers

Closing Week

Best possible select: Closing week, I predicted that Tom Brady would in spite of everything beat the Saints and wager what came about? Tom Brady in spite of everything beat the Saints in a typical season sport for the primary time as a member of the Buccaneers. Now, did I do know that Jameis Winston used to be going to fully soften down via throwing 3 interceptions within the fourth quarter? In fact I did. Anytime Winston performs, there is a 70% probability he’ll soften down one day and there is a 50% probability that meltdown goes to return within the fourth quarter. 

Brady additionally had a meltdown, however it did not occur at the box, it came about at the sideline and the one sufferer used to be an blameless pill. 

Brady has now damaged a pill in two immediately video games the place Tampa Bay used to be taking part in the Saints, which I imagine is the NFL report for many consecutive video games smashing a pill towards one crew. 

Worst select: For some reason why, I picked the Vikings to overcome the Eagles and I will have to have forgotten that the sport used to be being performed on a Monday evening as a result of no sane individual would ever select Kirk Cousins to win a sport on Monday evening. Going into Week 2, Cousins had the worst successful share in NFL historical past of any quarterback who has began no less than 10 Monday evening video games. He used to be 2-9, and after throwing 3 interceptions towards the Eagles, he is now 2-10. Selecting Cousins to win in a Monday evening sport is like choosing a vegetarian to win a meat loaf consuming contest. It is not sensible, so do not do it, however I nonetheless did it. 

Alternatives File

Directly up in Week 2: 9-7
SU total:18-13-1

In opposition to the unfold in Week 2: 5-11
ATS total: 14-18


You’ll to find John Breech on Fb or Twitter and if he isn’t doing a type of issues, he is almost certainly practising for the beef loaf contest he plans on getting into subsequent month. 

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